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11/05/2011 - Louisville. KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Court Vision outfought Turallure to win Saturday's $2 million Breeders' Cup Mile at Churchill Downs. Three-time defending winner Goldikova finished third and survived an objection.
Goldikova went off as the 6-5 favorite in the 13-horse field. Last year's runner-up Gio Ponti was the 5-1 second pick and Court Vision was 64-1.
Get Stormy set the pace while the favorite was a couple lengths back on the inside. Goldikova had a short lead coming out of the final turn with Court Vision second and Woodbine Mile winner Turallure third.
The three fought down the stretch, but Goldikova could not hold her short lead. Court Vision and Turallure hit the wire together with the longest priced horse in the field getting the nose victory.
Goldikova closed her career with a third in the race she made history. She was kept in that spot by the stewards after reviewing the race. Gio Ponti was fourth.
The time for the Mile was 1:37.05.
Court Vision was ridden by Robby Albarado for trainer Dale Romans and owner B. Wayne Hughes. The win was worth $1.08 million and the six-year-old has won nine of 31 starts for more than $3.7 million. He was coming off a seventh in the Woodbine Mile.
Court Vision returned a record $131.60, $48.60 and $21.40. Turallure paid $10.00 and $7.00, and Goldikova paid $2.40 to show.
<< Giants RB Bradshaw, WR Nicks out for Sunday
East Rutherford, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Giants will be without
running back Ahmad Bradshaw and wide receiver Hakeem Nicks for Sunday's road
game against the New England Patriots.
Bradshaw has a cracked bone in his foot,
<< Palermo climbs into top five
Palermo, Italy (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Palermo ended a run of three defeats in four
games on Saturday by claiming a 3-1 win over Bologna at the Renzo Barbera to
jump into fifth place in Serie A.
Eran Zehavi put the hosts in front in the 13th
<< Hansen holds on for Breeders' Cup Juvenile
Louisville. KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Hansen, ridden by Ramon Dominguez, nosed out
even-money favorite Union Rags to win the $2 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile
on Saturday at Churchill Downs. The two-year-old colt covered the 1 1/16-miles
in 1:44
<< O'Brien family wins Breeders' Cup Turf
Louisville. KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jockey Joseph O'Brien drove St Nicholas
Abbey to victory for his trainer father in Saturday's $3 million Breeders' Cup
Turf at Churchill Downs. It was the second win of the day for conditioner
Aidan O
Eagles activate DE Graham from PUP list >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia Eagles activated
defensive end Brandon Graham to the active roster from the physically unable
to perform list.
Graham endured a pair of knee surgeries in the past year -- a
Luck paces Stanford to rout of Oregon State >>
Corvallis, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Andrew Luck threw two touchdowns in the third
quarter to lead the No. 4 Stanford Cardinal past the Oregon State Beavers
38-13.
Luck completed 20-of-30 passes for 206 yards, three touchdowns and
Valencia tops Levante to take over third place >>
Valencia, Spain (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Valencia claimed a 2-0 win over derby
rivals Levante on Saturday to climb into third place in La Liga.
An own goal from Levante's Javi Venta on the half-hour mark put Valencia in
front, and Alber
Sooners WR Broyles suffers apparent knee injury >>
Norman, OK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Oklahoma Sooners senior wide receiver Ryan
Broyles suffered an apparent knee injury during the third quarter of
Saturday's game against Texas A&M.
Broyles immediately clutched his left leg af
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
The AFC South and the NFC East are the favorite divisions to have the next Super Bowl champ among them in the NFL betting odds. But more down to the point, these football odds are in favor of the Indianapolis Colts, by far the strongest team in the AFC South, and the Dallas Cowboys of the NFC East.
Most sports fans would agree that these two teams top the list to win it all before the season even begins. In the BetUS Sportsbook football futures, the Colts are +800 in the odds to win the Super Bowl, while the Cowboys are sitting at +1000 and the Super Bowl XLIV champions New Orleans Saints at +900. In the AFC South, the Colts won the division for five straight years after the 2002 realignment, before the Tennessee Titans won it in 2008. But the Colts came back strong in 2009 to win the division again en route to the Super Bowl. The Cowboys are the favorite to win the NFC East, as well as to advance far into the post season. The Cowboys won the division last season before their horrendous loss in the NFC Divisional playoff to Brett Favre and the Minnesota Vikings. But the ‘Boys will take that loss humbly and be ready for the playoffs this time around.
The NFC South is also very strong, at +600 in the NFL futures, considering that it is home to the defending Super Bowl champions. However, some predictions have the Atlanta Falcons with possibilities of claiming the divisional title this season in place of the Saints, as no team has won back-to-back division championships since the division realignment took place. Let’s not overlook the AFC North at +500. As TO goes to Cincinnati to join Chad OchoCinco and Adam “Pac-Man” Jones, this team looks to claim the division title again. And it is likely they will do so. The Bengals lost in the AFC Wild Card spot in a hard-fought battle against the New York Jets last season. Lest not forget the Pittsburgh Steelers, the XLII Super Bowl Champions… All these teams present interesting odds and matchups for the upcoming season, but the safest and surest bet seems to be with the Colts in the AFC South and the Cowboys in the NFC East. Play this weekly NFL Football Contestto see if you can win.
To visit this sportsbook go to MySportsbook.com for all your NFL football betting needs.
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